It was suggested by one local REALTOR® in a flyer delivered by Canada Post today that the
inventory in the fall and winter tends to be low, and therefore, the last quarter of the year is a great time to sell.
The statistics released from the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board for September, suggest otherwise. Inventory is quite high right now, and we are experiencing a Buyer's Market, (also according to the statistics package for September.)
That is not to say that this is not a good time to sell. Winter prices can be a few percentage points lower than the peak price in spring/summer of the same year, before climbing back up in February/March of the following year. If, as has happened historically at this time of year, we are in a temporary period of moderately declining prices, then a seller could sell as the downward swing begins, only to actually buy a month or two later as the prices have continued to follow the downward decline. (Sell at -1% and buy at -3%, for example). If selling a home whose peak value this year was $400,000.00 and prices have by that time dropped 1%, they could see it as a loss of $4,000.00. However, if they are then buying a home for $300,000.00 and prices have by that time dropped 3%, they will have saved $9000.00 on that purchase, for a net gain of $5,000.00. If they were trading up to a home of value of $580,000.00 and prices had dropped from the peak value by 3%, they would save $17,400.00 on their purchase and be $13,400.00 ahead. So, whether upsizing or downsizing your mortgage, you would be financially wise to sell at this time, and make your purchase before the price upswing.
The statistics released from the Fraser Valley Real Estate Board for September, suggest otherwise. Inventory is quite high right now, and we are experiencing a Buyer's Market, (also according to the statistics package for September.)
That is not to say that this is not a good time to sell. Winter prices can be a few percentage points lower than the peak price in spring/summer of the same year, before climbing back up in February/March of the following year. If, as has happened historically at this time of year, we are in a temporary period of moderately declining prices, then a seller could sell as the downward swing begins, only to actually buy a month or two later as the prices have continued to follow the downward decline. (Sell at -1% and buy at -3%, for example). If selling a home whose peak value this year was $400,000.00 and prices have by that time dropped 1%, they could see it as a loss of $4,000.00. However, if they are then buying a home for $300,000.00 and prices have by that time dropped 3%, they will have saved $9000.00 on that purchase, for a net gain of $5,000.00. If they were trading up to a home of value of $580,000.00 and prices had dropped from the peak value by 3%, they would save $17,400.00 on their purchase and be $13,400.00 ahead. So, whether upsizing or downsizing your mortgage, you would be financially wise to sell at this time, and make your purchase before the price upswing.
There is also a huge benefit to buying in the winter, whether it is your first home purchase, or not. You will see the home as it shows in the winter months, and be able to tell much more about how well the home systems are performing (windows, roof, humidity control, etc.)
Your particular situation of circumstances must be considered before a decision regarding timing your listing can be made. There are also benefits to listing in the spring, for some sellers, depending on their personal set of circumstances. I would be more than happy to review the statistics with you and help you assess your best time to list, based on your situation. Please never hesistate to give me a call for a Free Market Evaluation, and/or advice regarding the best time to sell.
Wishing you and your families a happy, healthy fall and winter,
Cyndi Polovina
